UFC Womens Bantamweight Title Fight: Ronda Rousey vs. Liz Carmouche
Odds: ( -1000 Rousey / +600 Carmouche )
Betting Pick: Rousey (Parlay Bet only)
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The main event of UFC 157 will feature a historic first, as two women square off in the Octagon for the first time in the company’s history. Liz Carmouche is a savvy and experienced veteran, but Rousey has cemented herself as the face of women’s MMA with her aggressive grappling style and propensity for finishing fights and finishing them early. If Carmouche wants to spoil Rousey’s big show debut, she is going to have to do what no one else has managed: keep Rousey from taking her down and submitting her at will.
Liz “Girl-rilla” Carmouche is a versatile fighter with a lot of experience. After two disappointing losses, she strung together two equally impressive wins to send her into the Octagon riding a small streak. Although she has some quality wins, her best performance probably came in a loss to prolific grappler Marloes Coenen in Strikeforce. Carmouche dominated the entirety of the fight until getting caught in a triangle choke in the fourth round. Against Rousey, it is entirely likely that Carmouche is going to be the better striker. She just has to find a way to keep Rousey from clinching or shooting for takedowns, which is a tall order to put it mildly.
Ronda Rousey, a former Olympic bronze medalist in Judo, is without a doubt the fastest-rising star in Mixed Martial Arts. While fans have clamored for a high-profile showdown between Rousey and human wrecking machine “Cyborg” Santos, Rousey has routinely dispatched everyone she has faced with what appears to be absurd ease. Rousey has nine fights under her belt, six of them as a professional, and has won every single one of those fights by armbar. As if that weren’t ridiculous enough, all 9 of those armbar wins came in the first round, and all but one came within the first minute. Clearly, Rousey’s ground game is on a whole different level, and this fight will pretty much depend on whether Carmouche has some secret takedown defense method that eluded all of Rousey’s other opponents.
Basically, for Carmouche to win, she is going to have to never get clinched or taken down, and that just isn’t going to happen. I don’t see a way for Carmouche to keep this fight standing and I certainly don’t see a way for her to survive on the ground with Rousey. I’m going to make a bold prediction here and say Rousey wins by armbar in the first round.
Prediction: Ronda Rousey by first round armbar.
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