UFC Welterweight Bout: Dan Hardy vs. Amir Sadollah
Odds: (-210 Hardy /+170 Sadollah )
Betting Pick: Hardy
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In the semi-main event, Ultimate Fighter winner Amir Sadollah will square off against heavy-handed English slugger Dan “The Outlaw” Hardy. Hardy, coming off the first win in his last five fights, is nevertheless one of the most dangerous and dynamic power punchers in UFC’s Welterweight division. Sadollah lacks on attribute as dominant as Hardy’s power punching, but he is a much steadier competitor with a better overall fight game. If Hardy wants to avoid his fifth loss in six fights, he is going to have to get back to what made him a contender to begin with, namely his superb boxing. If this fight plays out on the ground, Hardy is probably slick enough to survive, but there is little question that Sadollah should be able to control the pace and position well enough to hand Hardy a loss.
Amir Sadollah, who shocked nearly everyone by defeating heavy favorite C.B. Dolloway twice to win the Ultimate Fighter, came into the show without a single professional bout to his credit. Since then, he has carved out a decent niche for himself in UFC’s Welterweight division, winning 6 of his 9 fights, most of those by decision. Sadollah is interesting in that he doesn’t have any really dominant strengths, but he also doesn’t have any glaring holes in his game. Sadollah is a steady, workmanlike competitor who doesn’t give up anything major and takes what opportunities he can get. Against Hardy, he is obviously going to have to be wary of the power punches, but he has more than enough versatility to take Hardy off his game and outpoint him as long as he is careful.
Dan “The Outlaw” Hardy is one of the most dangerous and inconsistent strikers in the UFC. When he is on his game, his boxing and power punching are overwhelming to his opponents, but he is also prone to turning in uninspired and downright horrible performances. Against Sadollah he will be able to let his hands go freely, because Sadollah doesn’t have the firepower to match him and isn’t a dominant enough wrestler to really make him worry about overcommitting. If Hardy comes out committed to his striking game, I think this fight is his to lose.
I really don’t see Sadollah presenting many problems for Hardy. Although he is clearly a striker, Hardy showed against Georges St. Pierre that he is very adept at avoiding bad spots on the ground and finding a way to wiggle out back to his feet. Considering that Sadollah has no answer for Hardy’s power standing and that I don’t think Sadollah can consistently hold Hardy down, I expect Hardy to take this one by way of a fairly one-sided unanimous decision.
Prediction: Dan “The Outlaw” Hardy by Unanimous Decision.
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