Predictions for UFC 104: Machida vs. Rua

For the Main Event we have our Lyoto Machida vs. Mauricio Rua prediction page.

Cain Velasquez vs. Ben Rothwell

Pats Prediction

  • Big Ben Rothwell will make his UFC debut against rising HW star Cain Velasquez.  This is no doubt Cain’s biggest test to date.  Cain has been questioned about his chin against Cheick Kongo and I don’t believe he can take that kind of shot from Rothwell and be left standing.  Cain showed his dominant wrestling and finished Kongo via unanimous decision. I’m hesitant to take Cain because he landed shot after shot on Kongo from the mount and could not stop the fight.  Rothwell has tons of experience and is extremely well rounded.  Rothwell was on a 13 fight win streak before losing to Andrei Arlovski at Affliction “Banned”.  He then got back to his winning ways over Chris Guillen via TKO at AMMA 2. I’m a big Cain fan but I think Rothwell’s experience will be the difference in this fight.  Also Rothwell is a big underdog and I would suggest laying down a bet in his favor.  I have Big Ben via unanimous decision. 

  – Velasquez vs. Rothwell Odds

Josh Neer vs. Gleison Tibau

Pats Prediction

  • Here we have a battle between two very good grapplers.  Tibau is one of the biggest LW’s as he cuts a large amount of weight, so he will definitely have a size and strength advantage.  Neer will need to avoid the takedowns and keep this fight standing where he as an advantage in the striking department.  If Neer is taking down he is no slouch off his back and has submitted many opponents.  Neer has plenty of knock out power and I see him catching Tibau in the second round via TKO.

  – Neer vs. Tibau Odds

Joe Stevenson vs. Spencer Fisher

Pats Prediction

  • This is a battle between two very skilled MMA veterans.  “Joe Daddy” Stevenson against Spencer “The King” Fisher.  Fisher coming from the Miletich camp is much more than just a wrestler.  His striking is solid and will hold an advantage over Stevenson in that department.  Although Fisher is a good wrestler Stevenson is a little better and stronger in that department.  If Fisher can keep this fight standing I can see him picking apart Joe Daddy. I see Fisher being hesitant looking for Stevenson to shoot and wont let his hands go as much.  While Stevenson will look for his chances and take Fisher down earning points in Fisher’s guard with ground & pound.  Stevenson via unanimous decision.

  – Stevenson vs. Fisher Odds

Anthony Johnson vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida

Pats Prediction

  • Starting the PPV card off we have Anthony “Rumble” Johnson taking on Japanese star Yoshiyuki “Zenko” Yoshida.  Yoshida a skilled Judoka with KO power. Yoshida will most likely need to take this one to the ground to pull off a win.  Johnson is an extremely athletic, fast paced fighter with heavy hands.  Johnson’s wrestling back ground should be enough to stuff most of Yoshida’s take downs.  I see this being a  duplicate fight of Yoshida vs. Koscheck.  I have Johnson winning via first round KO.

  – Johnson vs. Yoshida Odds

UFC 104 Quick Picks

Sportsbook.com Odds

  • Antoni Hardonk over Pat Barry via second round TKO

  • Chael Sonnen over Yushin Okami via unanimous decision

  • Jorge Rivera over Rob Kimmons via unanimous decision

  • Ryan Bader over Eric Schafer via third round TKO

  • Razak Al-Hassan over Kyle Kingsbury via first round submission

  • Stefan Struve over Chase Gormley via second round submission