Kyle Noke vs. Chris Camozzi Prediction

UFC Middleweight bout:  Kyle Noke vs. Chris Camozzi

Odds:  (-215 Noke / +175 Camozzi )

Betting Pick:  Noke

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In the opening bout of the evening, two Ultimate Fighter Season 11 cast members will meet as well-rounded Australian Kyle Noke takes on the tough and versatile Chris Camozzi. Camozzi was unable to compete on The Ultimate Fighter due to a broken jaw he suffered in the prelims, while Noke suffered an upset defeat at the hands of Kris McCray to end his chances. Still, both guys have diverse skill sets and a good amount of fighting experience, so this should be a very competitive bout.

Chris Camozzi had one of the most brutal and competitive fights to enter the house on Ultimate Fighter Season 11, and it ended up costing him. Although he won the fight and the right to compete on the show, he suffered a broken jaw that knocked him out of the competition. On the season finale, he proved he belonged by easily outpointing James Hammortree, and he followed that up with another impressive win over Dongi Yang. Camozzi is not dominant at any one thing, but he is very well-rounded with solid boxing, a good chin, good wrestling, and effective submissions.

Kyle Noke was one of the early favorites to win Season 11, but his hopes were dashed when he found himself thoroughly outwrestled by Kris McCray. A former bodyguard for The Crocodile Hunter, Noke has a lot of experience all over the world even if he is relatively new to the UFC. He is a good boxer with fairly heavy hands, but his best work is done on the ground. He has very effective submissions, sweeps, escapes, and positional control. The only flaw in his ground game is his wrestling, which is not up to snuff either offensively or defensively.

In the end, I think Noke is going to be too much for Camozzi to handle. Neither guy is a real striking dynamo, but Noke is the steadier and more consistent boxer. On the ground I think Noke also has the edge. Camozzi has good jiu-jitsu, but Noke’s is better, and that will make the difference. Noke by submission.

Prediction:  Kyle Noke via third round rear naked choke.

To add  some excitement on fight night, you can bet on this fight at Sportsbook.com Odds.   Check out my review of Sportsbook here…