UFC Heavyweight Bout: Stipe Miocic vs. Fabio Maldonado
Odds: ( -550 Miocic / +375 Maldonado )
Betting Pick: Miocic
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In the main event of the Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Finale, Stipe Miocic will square off against Fabio Maldonado in a featured Heavyweight showdown. This is the kind of fight where you want to make sure to stay in your seat, because both of these guys have serious punching power and are willing to let their hands go. When two guys this big who can strike this well go at it, you don’t want to miss a second of the action.
Fabio Maldonado, who is currently riding an impressive three-fight win streak, is a very dangerous striker with decent wrestling and submissions. There is no question, though, that he relies primarily on striking to win his fights. If you look at his whole career, Maldonado is a prolific finisher, having won by T/KO in more than half of his professional wins. He hasn’t finished a fight since 2010, though, so maybe his power is on the wane. Nevertheless, he does have the ability to hurt opponents badly with clean shots and he has the technique to find the right openings, which makes him a dangerous opponent for anyone.
Stipe Miocic is one of the UFC’s most exciting Heavyweight prospects. After suffering his first career defeat at the hands of Stefan Struve, Miocic rebounded nicely with two wins against tough opponents. The big issue for Miocic in this fight is going to be landing his own punches without leaving himself open to absorb punishment. Struve already showed that Miocic’s chin can be exploited by a powerful striker, and Maldonado certainly fits that bill, so Miocic has to be careful not to fight reckless.
Ultimately, this is Miocic’s fight to lose. Neither guy is a dominant wrestler or submission grappler, so this one will likely play out mostly standing. I just think Miocic is a more powerful, more technical, more durable striker and should control the action en route to a unanimous decision win.
Prediction: Stipe Miocic by Unanimous Decision.
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