UFC Heavyweight Bout: Fabricio Werdum vs. Travis Browne
Odds: (+175 Werdum / -225 Browne )
Betting Pick: Browne
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The main event of UFC on FOX 11 will feature a big-time Heavyweight showdown, as grappling ace Fabricio “Vai Cavalo” Werdum returns to action against Travis “Hapa” Browne. Werdum is one of the division’s most prolific grapplers, but has been sidelined for over a year due to injuries. Now, he’s jumping right back into the deep end against Browne, a huge fighter with a surplus of knockout power and a vastly underrated ground game.
Fabricio Werdum is clearly one of the best Heavyweight grapplers in the UFC. His takedowns are solid if not spectacular, but his positional control and ability to work for submissions from a variety of positions make him an extremely dangerous fighter. He’s never going to be one of the best strikers in the world, but his boxing has developed steadily to the point that he is technically sound and surprisingly effective. That said, getting into a boxing match with Travis Browne is a long way from a winning strategy in this fight. Werdum shouldn’t be afraid to use his boxing at all, but it needs to be done trying to set up takedowns. If he stands in front of Browne too long, he’s in for a rough return.
Travis Browne is one of the UFC’s most exciting up and coming Heavyweights. He’s a huge guy with massive knockout power and a ground game that, while not showcased much, is surprisingly effective. There is little to no chance of him outgrappling Werdum, but if he can use his wrestling and jiu-jitsu defensively to force a kickboxing match, he will be in a good position to win. He will be the bigger, stronger, taller fighter and will also enjoy a bit of a reach advantage, so as long as he fights smart and doesn’t leave Werdum any obvious openings, this could be a good matchup for him.
Ultimately, I don’t think Werdum is going to be able to take Browne down consistently enough, or do enough with the takedowns he does get, to win this fight. Browne is a substantially scarier puncher, and if Werdum can’t force most of this fight to the ground, he’s going to pay eventually. Browne by T/KO.
Prediction: Travis Browne by third round T/KO.
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