I’ve been digging through the UFC messageboards and blogs all week looking to find the public’s opinion on Saturday’s UFC 74 fights. After many hours of research, I’ve narrowed down the field and made my picks for the event. In case you don’t understand my betting style, you should check out my MMA betting strategy. Without further delay, here’s what I’m betting on UFC 74.
Randy Couture (-105) vs. Gabriel Gonzaga (-125)
- This is the main bout of the night, so it’s getting most of the attention from hardcore UFC fans, as well as passive fans. From all the research I’ve done this week, Gonzaga is getting most of the action. This is partially due to his name, and also because he pulled off a big win last time out and most bettors are scared to bet against him again. Gonzaga is the favorite in this matchup at -125. Usually in sports when the underdog is getting more attention than the favorite, it usually is a great situation to bet on the favorite. I believe this is one of those situations.
My bet : I’m betting 3+ Units on Gonzaga to win 3 Units at -125 at Bodog
Kendall Grove (-240) vs. Patrick Cote (+190)
- This might be my favorite matchup of the night. Grove is a very underrated fighter, who the public seems to be looking over in this bout. I’ve seen a large amount of people backing Cote in this fight as a +190 underdog because they feel Cote is actually better than Grove. I’ve been following Grove for the last few months and the reports I’m reading have been very promising about his improvements. I think there’s too much interest out there in Cote right now from the public as a +190 underdog.
My bet : 7.2 Units on Grove at -240 to win 3 Units at BetUS.com
Georges St. Pierre (-280) vs. Josh Koscheck (+220)
- I told myself I was going to lay off this bout, but being the degenerate that I am, I found some good evidence to make a bet. More than likely, St Pierre will win this fight. However in sports betting when you see good value you MUST play it, because over time you will profit from betting on the value plays. In this situation Koscheck is a value play for me. I think there are enough questions about St. Pierre’s ability to defend Koscheck on the ground to warrant a small wager on Josh.
My bet : 1 Unit to win 2.2 Units on Josh Koscheck at +220 at BetUS.com
I will be passing on the other bouts for now. If I decide to add some wagers, they will be added to this post. Good luck everyone with your wagers. Feel free to leave some comments about your picks…
Bet these fights at Bodog and BetUS.com
-Justin
